DSHR's Blog

Whisky Still The original function of a Web server was to respond to queries by revealing the appropriate part of their internal data. This necessarily meant that repeated queries, for example from a search engine's or an internet archive's web crawler, could extract the server's entire internal data. Since the extracted data had been published on the Web, it was protected by copyright. This has led to many lawsuits, for example against the Internet Archive, Google and others. It is the reason…

I have been a small part of the chorus of voices critiquing the AI bubble that I described in Portents Of Doom. But what if we're wrong? What if the overwhelming demand for AI sin't the result of the AI platforms massively subsidizing their products, but because the world needs more and more non-consensual sex images, slop web pages, agentic ransomware attacks,

Elon Musk is the world champion of totally implausible projections, and Kim Khan reported on a personal best in SpaceX sees total addressable market rivaling size of the U.S. economy: The $28.5T forecast compares to U.S. Q1 2026 nominal GDP of nearly $32T, with the estimate for the market of AI enterprise applications of $22.7T about 70% of total U.S. economic output. Sam Altman and Dario Amodei just aren't this good, but their projections of their Total Available Market (TAM) are still turning…

Boeing's PDP-7/340 Most of my career has been involved in various ways with computer graphics. Below the fold I recount the story of how I got started in the field just as it was getting started. To give you some idea of just how early my introduction was the Mother of all Demos had been the year before. The displays I got to work with drew lines in monochrome, not rasters in color. You created the image by writing a loop of instructions in the "display processor" instruction set. These told it…

Divine, Pink Flamingos Wikipedia defines Coprophagia as "the consumption of feces". Since brevity is the soul of wit", my favorite science fiction includes the 254 words of Fredric Brown's Answer from 1954. It describes a galactic civilization holding a ceremony to mark the final connection of all their computers. What happened was: Dwar Ev threw the switch. There was a mighty hum, t

A year ago in The Back Of The AI Envelope I pointed out that the AI platforms were running the drug-dealer's algorithm, "the first one's free". By massively subsidizing the use of their products, they were generating overwhelming demand for them. They used this demand to justify massive investments, in the hope that, by the time they had to show a return on these invetment, the users would be so addicted that they would pay the vastly higher prices needed to generate a return. David Cahn, Sept…

Source Back in February I posted The Kessler Syndrome, which also included a brief section mentioning the impacts of the proposed megaconstellations on the environment, specifically global warming from CO2 and black carbon, and depletion of the ozone layer. Three months earlier Anton Petrov had examined the last of these in Risk of Ozone Layer Destruction from Internet Satellite Swarms and Rocket Fuel. He has now followed up with SpaceX Is Conducting a Giant Chemical Experiment on Our At

Once again I attended most of the library of Congress' Designing Storage Architectures workshop remotely. I apologize for the delay in posting this; domestic duties have kept me very busy recently. Below the fold notes on the talks that caught my attention, based on my now somewhat memory and the slide decks for the talks from the Library of Congress website. Data Storage Trends As usual, IBM's Georg Lauhoff provided an invaluable overview of the storage industry as of late 2025, co-authored…

J.P. Morgan hits photographer with cane This is just a brief post to explain to my old boss, Eric Schmidt, why he and his ilk are getting booed at college commencements, and why

XKCD #538 A year ago I wrote The Risks Of HODL-ing sparked by Mitch Moxley's They Stole a Quarter-Billion in Crypto and Got Caught Within a Month. Moxley recounts the kidnapping of Veer Chetal's parents to persuade him to hand over his share of the loot: the Lamborghini was suddenly rammed from behind by a white Honda Civic. At the same time, a white Ram ProMaster work van cut in front, trapping the Chetals. According to a criminal complaint filed after the incident, a group of six men dressed…

Via John Markoff, I was invited to a conversation with Jonathan Dotan and the students of his EE292J course entitled Designing for Authenticity. Below the fold are my brief introductory remarks, and some notes for the discussion. Thank you for inviting a relic from earlier days in the Valley. As with all my talks, the text of this brief introduction will go up at blog.dshr.org later this afternoon. Sun GX version 1 It is just over 60 years since I wrote my first program, and just under 50 years…

Source This is the promised follow-on to Flooded Zones Part 1, which discussed the Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attack being mounted by AI against the scholarly publication system. By reducing the cost of generating and submitting a paper or a review, AI has caused a massive increase in the quantity and a significant decrease in the quality of submissions to a system that was already vastly overloaded. Below the fold I look at AI-enabled DDoS attacks against two other even more…

Tom CowapCC-BY-SA 4.0 Three years ago in Flooding The Zone With Shit, my first post on the AI bubble, I wrote: My immediate reaction to the news of ChatGPT was to tell friends "at last, we have solved the Fermi Paradox". It wasn't that I feared being told "This mission is too important for me to allow you to jeopardize it", but rather that I assumed that civilizations across the galaxy evolved to be able to implement ChatGPT-like systems, which proceeded to irretrievably pollute their…

Potential Attack Target Suppose some genre of conteent is under attack by powerful adversaries. Lets take political satire as a thought experiment in which powerful politicians are attacking sites and Web archives hosting it by sending bogus DMCA takedowns, suing for defamation, buying up their hosting platforms, getting their flying monkeys to flood them with spam, and so on. Below the fold I discuss the problem facing the defense. White Hats You and a few friends get together to fight back.…

PsiQuantum's computer Four and a half years ago I wrote The $65B Prize about the potential reward for developing a "sufficiently powerful quantum computer" capable of cracking Bitcoin's encryption. It was based on work by Aggarwal et al, who were then projecting it would happen between 2029 and 2044. The $65B was the notional value of the wallet containing the million Bitcoin Satoshi Nakamoto mined originally.i But I noted that: