Possible Futures

Contents Click on the blue boxes to go to the corresponding section: <?xml version=”1.0” encoding=”UTF-8” standalone=”no”?> <!DOCTYPE svg PUBLIC “-//W3C//DTD SVG 1.1//EN” “http://www.w3.org/Graphics/SVG/1.1/DTD/svg11.dtd”> The Present Do we reach ASI? Misuse Doom Butlerian Jihad Do we solve alignment? Yes Full automation? No What kind of alignment? Yes Takeoff severity? No How many ASIs? Intent The Singleton Value Classic Doom Fatal Orion's Arm Survivable The World State One MAD World Many Power Concentration Few Enduring Complementarity No Permanent Underclass Yes Questions Do we reach ASI? Do we reach the point where AI is massively better than humans at almost all cognitive tasks, or does the intelligence explosion fizzle out, and produce minds that have very jagged capabilities, and are worse than humans at some things? Do we solve alignment? Can we instill our own values into the AI, or does it have its own evolved, ahuman value system? What kind of alignment? Intent alignment…

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