The gap between AI capabilities and replacing jobs

I saw this: “AI Is Looking More and More Like a Normal Technology,” by Richard Hanania. This is a great article, and it agrees with what I’ve been saying since 2023 or so: AI will not lead to meaningful, if any, net job loss. It also agrees with Freddie deBoer’s position, and he has been right since he began writing about this around 2024. Our views represent a tiny minority among “experts” who have staked their intellectual reputations on the certainty of AI leading to a job apocalypse rivaling even the Great Depression, yet so far this has not been borne out. There are sooooo many jobs AI cannot yet automate–things like service sector work, blue-collar jobs, or individualized services. Many white-collar jobs involve coordination and dealing with edge cases. Things like insurance or advertising require meeting clients’ unique needs or dealing with counterparties, like cross-examining a witness in a courtroom or assessing an insurance claim. If an insurance company does not pay out,…

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