Three Election-Day Scenarios

The BBC considers how today's elections might turn out and offers three possible outcomes -- Democratic wave, Democratic trickle, and a good night for Republicans -- as well as why each could occur, based on polling data and its limitations.More importantly, it offers early signs as the results come in for election-watchers who value their sleep.I value my sleep even more than most and almost always skip the news entirely on election nights, and plan to do the same here.Nevertheless, if I do end up hearing news while I'm up, I like the idea that I could have some idea of what's going on, so I'll note the respective sets of early signs here: Dem Wave If Democrats hold targeted House contests in Florida and win some Republican districts in North Carolina, Michigan, New York, Virginia and Kentucky. If they flip the Senate seat in South Carolina, it's going to be a good night for Democrats. Dem Trickle If Florida stays comfortably Republican across the board. If Democrats pick up some…

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