6 hours ago · Politics · hide · 0 comments

As you are almost certainly aware, the government is having to pay much more in interest on its debt than it used to do. Here is a chart based on the last OBR forecast, and the likelihood is that their next forecast will revise these numbers upwards. An increase worth 2% of GDP may not sound big, but it is nearly as much as the current defence budget. Should this additional spending on debt interest be matched by higher taxes or reduced spending elsewhere? It has to be one or the other to meet the government’s sensible fiscal rule, sometimes called the golden rule, which matches current spending (i.e. excluding public investment) to total taxes. In my post about rising interest rates two weeks ago, I gave my opinion that the government should raise taxes, but not the reasoning behind it. To many the issue is simply political. Right wing governments would choose lower public spending and more left wing governments would choose to raise taxes. If you look at past trends in UK public…

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