The Ultimate Equation about AI Coding

There are some useful mathematical models relating to LLM-assisted and agentic software development, like my formula for the reliability of model interactions (“steps”) in an agentic workflow. It predicts when the wheels may start to wobble in autonomous execution and therefore how far apart human checkpoints – Actual Intelligence – may need to be to stabilise reliability and keep software shippable. But the question that will probably determine the future of this technology is whether or not, in the final reckoning, it’s actually worth it. Is the additional value created greater than the additional cost? Or is the same value being created at lower cost? AI ROI = net value created with AI – net value created without it So far, the best available evidence clearly shows that – while output is undeniably up – that isn’t making a noticeable dent in user engagement or the bottom line. Shipping apps in less time and at lower cost doesn’t save you anything if nobody’s using them. Probably…