Course Design as Variance Transformation

IntroductionWell, we’re finally here: the discussion of variance in golf I’ve been working on for months. The good news is that the work is done. But the topic is long and dense, so I’ll be breaking it up into three parts to make it a bit easier to digest.At the outset, though, I think it’s important to remember that I’m trying to build up to something throughout the multi-part series:Part one is about how hole design transforms uniform dispersion patterns into different probabilistic outputs.Part two will be about visualizing variance: how we can show strategic tradeoffs by illustrating risk-adjusted strokes-to-hole.Part three will be about what we mean by “good shots” and “bad shots,” and will illustrate why the two different frameworks divide the golf community.Subscribe nowShot Quality vs Result QualityWhen we think about variance on the golf course, we really need to look at both shot quality and result quality, since one doesn’t always guarantee the other. Each player comes to…