1 hour ago · Writing · hide · 0 comments

I wish more people understood that the future of human things is not already determined and just waiting for a wise oracle to reveal it. It is a dynamic system created by the actions of billions of human beings, natural forces, and the world of plants and animals. Nobody from a president to a panhandler can control the future, but they all have a chance to shape it. Anyone who says that a technology or institution is inevitable is selling something, and anyone who thinks that a wise council or sinister cabal control the world is mistaken. The reason it is hard to predict the weather is not that we lack data or are not smart enough. It is that weather is a chaotic dynamic system, so tiny differences in the state of the world now become big differences in the state a month from now, and just measuring things changes them. More satellites and microchips and more PhDs in meteorology make slightly better predictions, but they cannot make a prediction for the weather a year in the future…

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