AGI Just Happened

I just realized Claude Tag might be the AGI moment I've been talking about since 2023.No, that doesn't mean Claude generally is pure, technical "AGI". It's hard to even know what that means. Everyone disagrees.My definition of AGI, which is what I think we actually care about, is just:An AI system that can replace an average knowledge worker.The whole point of all this stuff is the impact it has on us humans, which is why I think this is the best definition.The "G" in AGI stands for generality, and nobody agrees on how to measure that. But one thing we know requires generality is doing a chaotic knowledge work job, because it demands competence across dozens of different skills. If something has general enough intelligence to be an average knowledge worker, that's a solid standard for generality.I've been writing about this since 2023 In November 2023 I wrote Why We'll Have AGI by 2025-2028:My prediction is a 60% chance of AGI in 2025 and a 90% of AGI in 2028.November 2023That post…