1 hour ago · Tech · hide · 0 comments

The Lindy Effect is a theorized phenomenon by which the future life expectancy of some non-perishable thing, like a technology or an idea, is proportional to its current age. The project age is now the first thing I check when people advertise their side projects on Hacker News. And for a surprising amount of projects, the age is less than a week. Which makes the expected further lifespan roughly… maybe another week? 🤨 And the Lindy effect is confirmed when re-visiting the same projects a bit later, and observing that noone has worked on them. The project website looking good, a code review that is long and sophisticated, are not a good proxy any more for anyone being actually invested in maintaining the code. When coding is so much cheaper, the real human moat is in taking responsibility and accountability for the long-term continuity of the work. This goes for code reviews as well. It is risky for users to have dependencies on one-shot demos that are not actually maintained.

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