It's amazing the mileage I get out of some posts

Weakliem and Gelman are talking about Trump's 2024 nomination, especially the role of the elites. I have some issues with the arguments, not with the analyses (both these guys know what they're doing), but with the questions being asked. I might follow up with a full post on the subject, but for now, I thought it might be helpful to look back at how the establishment, both right-wing (Fox) and mainstream (NYT et al.) were approaching the possibility of another Trump candidacy almost two years before the convention. Wednesday, August 24, 2022 I shouldn't have to say this but a 49-25 poll is not good news for the 25 (and it gets worse) First off, the decision of the New York Times to even conduct a presidential poll more than two years before the election is irresponsible and bad for for Democracy. It distracts from important conversations and, since the data are largely worthless, its main function is to introduce noise into the conventional wisdom. But while the data are not worth…