The leaders of AI companies often compare their technology to industrial automation: just as machines eliminated jobs that depended on human brawn, AI will eliminate jobs that rely on brains. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has suggested on multiple occasions that his AI-based tools will automate half of entry-level white-collar jobs. Not to be outdone, Mustafa Suleyman, the CEO of Microsoft AI, predicted in February that AI will deliver “human-level performance on most if not all professional tasks” within the next twelve to eighteen months. As I recently discussed on an AI Reality Check episode of my podcast, however, some of these same leaders have started pulling back from automation discourse. Two weeks ago, while appearing at a conference in Australia, Sam Altman said that he was “delighted” to be wrong about AI creating a “jobs apocalypse.” And Amodei is now saying that AI won’t replace jobs but will instead replace large parts of existing jobs, changing what employees do…
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