Is the Monaco Grand Prix decided at qualifying?

A Formula One driver triggered my fact-checkitis. They claimed that Winning the Monaco Grand Prix in Monte Carlo is determined nine out of ten times by which position one starts in. That makes intuitive sense, because the Monte Carlo track is a narrow street track with few opportunities for overtakes. But … really? Is that an off-the-cuff remark or an accurate statistical prediction of the race? (Continue reading the full article on the web.)