In my last post I reported:For the last century, … averaging over [3] LLMs, 89% of culture trends that can be classified are toward-forager.And 81% of trends can be so classified. For the prior two centuries this explanatory power was weaker (59%,65%), but still substantial. This suggests a way to predict the next century: predict toward forager trend changes.So I collected 22 future trends that would plausibly be predicted by a continuing toward-forager-style trend. I then set aside these 7 trends as ones that could also be as plausibly predicted by increased wealth, education, or world connection:↓ Fertility; ↑ Travel, Migration;↓ Nationalism;↓ Religion, ↑ Spirituality; ↑ Emotion Talk, Legitimacy; ↑ Flexible Work Hrs, Places; ↑ Casual Dress, Etiquette.That left these 15 trends as better tests of the toward-forager hypothesis:↑ Business Regulation; ↑ Kid Autonomy; ↑ Loose Drug Norms; ↑ Loose Sex Norms; ↑ Nature Sacred; ↑ Redistribution; ↓ Convict, Animal Cruelty; ↓ Family, ↑ Friends;…
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