Profiting from Iran and Polymarket

Deal or no deal? White House says Iran deal could take days. It was predictable how the headlines changed from “a deal is certain” 14 hours ago, to now “maybe?” It’s the same pattern we’ve seen for the past 3 months. There is not going to be any sort of “deal” because neither side can possibly agree to each other’s terms. Meanwhile, the stock market keeps going up, as I also correctly precited. At this point the public has lost track or interest in which “deal” or ceasefire we’re on. After a few days of negotiations, it’s back to Trump posting memes of attacking ships, and more empty threats and the usual bluster that has typified both of his terms. Iran is today’s Iran or Afghanistan, but thankfully fewer deaths. This is going to go on until at least after the 2028 election, and it will be up to Vance (or whoever replaces Trump) to deal with it. This also agrees with my prediction of the strait remaining in some quasi-blockaded state until after the 2028 election. Similar to the…