Dunning-Kruger for Vibe Coders

# The Dunning-Kruger Effect for Vibe Coders ## The Big Idea AI makes it easier than ever to build something that feels like it works. It does not make it easier to understand what you've built, how it works, or how it might break. --- ## Learning Feels Like Progress, Until It Doesn't One of the most enjoyable parts of learning something new is how quickly it can feel like you're getting good at it. You start from nothing, make a bit of progress, and then suddenly things begin to click. A few early wins stack up, and you get that dopamine boost from the feeling that you have a handle on what you're doing. If you've ever watched someone pick up a new skill for the first time, you've probably seen this happen. Beginner's luck and a handful of successful attempts can create a surprising amount of confidence. The problem is that this confidence is often built on a very small slice of reality. When you've been doing something for a long time, you develop an intuition for how much there is…