The Ultimate Question: What Does the Endgame Look Like?

The last couple of years have been riddled with speculations about how AI will change the world. Software development and the broader IT industry are among the most affected contexts. Things are changing. The future is uncertain. In such a landscape, it’s easy to subscribe to any speculation, like the infamous doom and gloom Citrini prediction. Before we fall for that, though, let’s look at the historical data. It’s Q2 2026. If the AI predictions had been correct, then: We have AGI. As Sam Altman predicted. Thus, most developers don’t code anymore. That’s Matt Garman from two years ago. Why would they? After all, no one learns to code these days, because “everybody is now a programmer.” Courtesy of Jensen Huang. If you want concrete data, since last autumn, AI writes 90% of the code. Yup, that’s Dario Amodei. No one drops a tear over developers, though, because we already see how AI is in the midst of wiping out half of entry-level white-collar jobs. That’s Dario Amodei, too. Yeah, I…