AI job loss predictions keep being wrong

Here we go again with the always-wrong AI-job-loss predictions: NEW: Microsoft AI chief predicts AI will automate most white-collar work within 18 months. — Polymarket (@Polymarket) May 17, 2026 People have made this prediction every month, at least since 2023. Three years later, despite record progress in AI, nothing has changed. But people keep predicting it anyway. Here is my post from Jan 2025 where I predicted nothing would happen. 1.5 years later, no white-collar job apocalypse. These CEOs and other experts should lead by example and resign if they truly believe their predictions about AI destroying jobs. If Jamie Dimon and other overpaid, overrated billionaires think AI will inevitably eliminate millions of jobs, they should quit to bring about that outcome themselves. Instead, it’s always other people who are expected to lose their jobs–never them. Of course, one can argue that it’s too soon to tell. This is related to Scott’s recently viral post, “The Sigmoids Won’t Save…